FuturADA: The Ultimate Decentralized Prediction Market on Cardano

[GENERAL] Name and surname of main applicant

Hernan Arber

[GENERAL] Are you delivering this project as an individual or as an entity (whether formally incorporated or not)

Entity (Incorporated)

[GENERAL] Please specify how many months you expect your project to last (from 2-12 months)

10

[GENERAL] Please indicate if your proposal has been auto-translated into English from another language

No

[GENERAL] Summarize your solution to the problem (200-character limit including spaces)

FuturADA is a decentralized prediction market built on the Cardano blockchain, designed to facilitate accurate forecasting of real-world events using a trustless, secure, and user-friendly platform.

[GENERAL] Does your project have any dependencies on other organizations, technical or otherwise?

Yes

[GENERAL] If YES, please describe what the dependency is and why you believe it is essential for your project’s delivery. If NO, please write “No dependencies.”

FuturADA relies on decentralized oracles for accurate real-world event data, which is crucial for market resolution. Collaborations with established Cardano projects like OrcFax and Charli3 for Oracle integration will ensure reliable and accurate data feeds for prediction outcomes.

[GENERAL] Will your project’s output/s be fully open source?

Yes

[GENERAL] Please provide here more information on the open source status of your project outputs

The core smart contracts and the platform's front end will be open-sourced, allowing the community to inspect, modify, and contribute to the project. We will use the MIT License to promote accessibility and collaborative development within the Cardano ecosystem.

[METADATA] Horizons

Marketplace

[SOLUTION] Please describe your proposed solution

FuturADA aims to be the ultimate decentralized prediction market on the Cardano blockchain, combining the strengths of Augur, Gnosis, and PolyMarket while introducing innovative features such as AI integration, cross-chain compatibility, and a mobile-first approach. Here's a detailed breakdown of the technical specifications and concept:

The platform enables users to create and participate in prediction markets on diverse topics such as politics, sports, finance, and global events. 

Key Features:

• Decentralized and Trustless: Built on Cardano, utilizing smart contracts and oracles to ensure transparency and eliminate third-party involvement.
• Open Platform: Open to global participation, promoting an unbiased marketplace where users can create markets on any future real-world event.
• Flexible Market Creation: Users can create prediction markets on any real-world event, such as politics, sports, weather, and financial markets.
• Multi-Stage Process: Including market creation, trading, reporting, and settlement stages to ensure accurate outcomes and fair reward distribution.
• Incentivized Information Sharing: Rewards accurate predictors, creating an efficient marketplace driven by knowledge sharing.
• AI Integration: Utilizes AI algorithms to analyze prediction trends, offering insights to enhance user decision-making.
• Predict-to-Earn Mechanism: Creating New Markets that drive participation, placing bets on existing markets, and making new bold predictions will all be rewarded with our native $FAT Token.

Example User Flow:

1. UserX comes into the platform and logs in
2. UserX CREATES a New US2024 Market for “Who will win the 2024 US Elections? Trump / Harris”
3. UserX Sets the initial Liquidity Pool for the US2024 Market of 5000 ADA
4. UserX Publishes the US2024 Market on the FUTURADA MarketPlace
5. Now other Users can place a bet by depositing X Ada into one of the 2 choices in the US2024 Prediction Market
6. As Verifiable Data from the US 2024 Elections comes in (through our Integration with Oracles) the results will begin favoring one market over another until the Users decide to Sell their Position.

Using Cardano’s efficient infrastructure, FuturADA ensures low fees, high security, and scalability, setting a new standard in prediction market platforms.

FuturADA: Technical Specifications:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1vlY_8Pa49PvG1SPuJ9MII4_FnuN6evvutTaKgjIRh34/edit?usp=sharing

[IMPACT] Please define the positive impact your project will have on the wider Cardano community

FuturADA represents significant value for the Cardano ecosystem by pioneering a comprehensive, decentralized prediction market platform. By leveraging Cardano’s low fees and scalability, the project aims to attract a global user base, contributing to increased ADA usage and ecosystem growth.

The proposed budget is proportional to the industry standards for blockchain development, AI integration, and marketing. The development team comprises experienced professionals, ensuring efficient use of funds and the successful delivery of a high-impact project.

Here are the key points outlining the positive impact of FuturADA on the wider Cardano community:

1. Innovation: Futurada will contribute to the decentralized innovation ethos of Cardano by providing a platform where the community can actively engage in forecasting future event
2. Boosting Community Participation: By creating a prediction market that is user-friendly and accessible, FuturADA will encourage more people to participate in Cardano’s ecosystem. This increased engagement will lead to higher adoption rates and greater visibility of the blockchain platform.
3. Combating Misinformation: FuturADA will offer an innovative approach to combating misinformation by incentivizing accurate predictions. This creates a knowledge-driven environment where collective insights are rewarded, enhancing the reliability of the information on the platform.
4. Enhancing Economic Opportunities: By allowing users to profit from their predictions and knowledge, Futurada will create economic opportunities within the Cardano community. This helps drive value creation and empowers users to become more invested in the ecosystem.
5. Promoting Open-Source Collaboration: The platform’s open-source nature will enable developers and contributors from around the world to continuously improve and refine the platform, fostering collaboration and strengthening Cardano's technological capabilities.

Bottom-Line:

• New Marketplace to attract more users.
• More community engagement
• A new potential source of truth
• More on-chain transactions
• New opportunities to profit

Bringing to Cardano a great use case: https://www.coindesk.com/business/2024/05/14/peter-thiels-founders-fund-vitalik-buterin-back-45m-investment-in-polymarket/

[CAPABILITY & FEASIBILITY] What is your capability to deliver your project with high levels of trust and accountability? How do you intend to validate if your approach is feasible?

FuturADA is backed by a team of experienced professionals with a strong background in blockchain technology, smart contract development, AI integration, and financial markets.

Our team includes Hernan Arber (CEO), Daniel Leubitz (CPO), and Ilan Leubitz (CMO)

Although we have strong experience with technology development and blockchain we are new to the Cardano ecosystem. However, we do have good connections to have support from Cardano Ambassadors and ecosystem developers. 

 

For the pilot stage, we will use one of the Cardano respected tech teams, connecting to the Gimbalabs community, Txpipe, Mesh, or the https://www.cardanoindia.com developer community. 

We also have been engaging with a Cardano oracle Orcfax to validate our approach and collaboration opportunity. The team is open to exploring an integration with Orfax to provide FuturADA with on-Chain Data for our platform,

[PROJECT MILESTONES] What are the key milestones you need to achieve in order to complete your project successfully?

To ensure the successful delivery of FuturADA, we have outlined the following key milestones, each with specific deliverables, acceptance criteria, and evidence to track progress. Our goal is to create a secure, robust, and user-friendly prediction market platform on Cardano within a 10-month timeframe.

Milestone 1: Prototype Development and Initial Testing  

Timeframe: 3 Months  

Budget: ₳70,000  

Deliverables:  

• Development of Core Smart Contracts: 
• Implement smart contracts on the Cardano testnet for market creation, trading, and settlement.
• Front-End Development: 
• Build a user interface (UI) for the prototype, focusing on market creation and participation functionalities.
• Oracle Integration (Testnet): 
• Initial integration with decentralized oracles to facilitate real-world data feeds.
• Testing and QA: 
• Conduct internal testing and quality assurance to ensure secure and reliable operation on the testnet.

Milestone 2: Predict-to-Earn Testnet Launch and User Feedback  

Timeframe: 3 Months  

Budget: ₳50,000  

Deliverables:  

• Play-to-Earn Testnet Deployment: 
• Deploy the play-to-earn testnet, enabling users to interact with the platform using play tokens.
• UI/UX Refinements: 
• Improve the user interface based on feedback gathered during the initial testing phase.
• User Engagement & Incentives: 
• Implement a strategy to incentivize users to participate in the testnet, gathering valuable feedback for further refinements.
• Data Collection & Analysis: 
• Gather and analyze user behavior and feedback to inform platform improvements.
• Community Outreach: 
• Engage with the Cardano community to onboard testnet users and foster engagement.

Final Milestone: Security Audits and Final Testnet Optimizations  

Timeframe: 4 Months  

Budget: ₳30,000  

Deliverables:  

• Security Audits:
•  Conduct an independent security audit of the smart contracts to identify and resolve potential vulnerabilities.
• Testnet Optimizations:
•  Implement optimizations and adjustments based on audit findings and user feedback from the testnet phase.
• Preparations for Mainnet Launch
• Documentation & Reporting: 
• Create comprehensive documentation of the platform and provide a detailed report on testnet performance, security, and user engagement outcomes. 
• Closing report and closing video

Total Budget: ₳150,000 

[RESOURCES] Who is in the project team and what are their roles?

Hernan Arber (CEO): https://www.linkedin.com/in/hernanarber/

Daniel Leubitz (CPO) : https://www.linkedin.com/in/nycdan/

Ilan Leubitz (CMO): https://www.linkedin.com/in/ilan-leubitz-0a9b9b145/

Once the proposal is funded we will use the services of Cardano Ambassadors to reach the Cardano Ecosystem and Cardano respected tech teams, connecting to the Gimbalabs community, Txpipe, or the https://www.cardanoindia.com developer community.

[BUDGET & COSTS] Please provide a cost breakdown of the proposed work and resources

Milestone 1: Prototype Development and Initial Testing  

Timeframe: 3 Months  

Budget: ₳70,000  

Categories

Cost (₳)

Project Management

20000

Smart Contract Development

25000

Front-end Development

10000

Oracle Integration (Testnet)

5000

Testing and QA

10000

Total

70000

Milestone 2: Predict-to-Earn Testnet Launch and User Feedback  

Timeframe: 3 Months  

Budget: ₳50,000  

Categories

Cost (₳)

Project Management

10000

Testnet Deployment

15000

User Interface Refinements

8000

User Engagement & Incentives

5000

Data Collection & Analysis

7000

Community Outreach

5000

Total

50000

Milestone 3: Security Audits and Final Testnet Optimizations  

Timeframe: 4 Months  

Budget: ₳30,000  

Categories

Cost (₳)

Project Management

5000

Security Audits

15000

Testnet Optimizations

5000

Documentation & Reporting

5000

Total

30000

Total Estimated Budget: ₳150,000 

Full Cost Breakdown can be found here: 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15i60grLHGcGwjEerVNoymDZyGudYlGhsDRJU63I-X7s/edit?usp=sharing

[VALUE FOR MONEY] How does the cost of the project represent value for money for the Cardano ecosystem?

The Budget of ₳150,000 can get us to develop the project and launch it onto the Preview Testnet. Here’s how this cost offers exceptional value for money. This is a strategic investment in building a comprehensive, decentralized prediction market that will significantly contribute to the Cardano ecosystem

1. Driving Cardano Adoption and Usage:

• Global Reach: FuturADA's design emphasizes inclusivity, enabling global participation in decentralized prediction markets. 
• Increased ADA Utility: By using ADA as the primary currency for market creation, trading, and staking, FuturADA will directly enhance ADA's utility.
• Enhanced Ecosystem Functionality and Innovation:
• Advanced Use Case: FuturADA brings an advanced use case to the Cardano ecosystem by offering decentralized prediction markets with AI integration and cross-chain compatibility. This platform will showcase the capabilities of Cardano's smart contracts and interoperability features, serving as a benchmark for future decentralized applications (DApps) on the network.
• Open Source Contribution: By making FuturADA’s codebase open source, we foster collaboration and knowledge sharing within the Cardano developer community. This transparency allows developers to build upon our foundation, innovate, and create new applications, further expanding Cardano's ecosystem. 
• Promoting Decentralization and Trustless Systems:
• True Decentralization: By leveraging Cardano's native blockchain capabilities and integrating decentralized oracles, FuturADA ensures a trustless environment where users can interact without relying on centralized entities. This promotes the core values of blockchain technology—decentralization, security, and transparency—providing a model for how DApps should operate within the ecosystem.
• Knowledge Sharing and Collective Intelligence: FuturADA’s incentivized information-sharing model encourages users to contribute their knowledge and insights to the market, promoting a more informed and intelligent community. This feature not only benefits participants but also showcases how decentralized systems can harness collective intelligence for better decision-making, enhancing Cardano's reputation as a forward-thinking blockchain network.
• Robust Security and Compliance:
• Security Investment: A significant portion of the budget is allocated to security audits, penetration testing, and compliance checks. This investment ensures that FuturADA is built with the highest standards of security and compliance, safeguarding user funds and data. By setting a precedent for security in DApp development, FuturADA adds value to the Cardano ecosystem by establishing best practices for future projects.
• Regulatory Compliance: By adhering to legal and compliance standards across key jurisdictions, FuturADA ensures long-term sustainability and legality. This proactive approach mitigates risks of regulatory issues that can hinder a project's success, thereby instilling confidence in Cardano's capacity to host compliant and legitimate platforms.
• Stimulating Ecosystem Growth and User Engagement:
• Engaging a Diverse User Base: FuturADA’s mobile-first design, play-to-earn mechanisms, and cross-chain compatibility attract a diverse range of users, from crypto enthusiasts to mainstream participants. By bridging the gap between blockchain technology and everyday users, the platform will encourage more people to explore and engage with the Cardano ecosystem.
• Economic Growth: The prediction market is a proven model that can generate significant economic activity. As users engage with the platform, creating and participating in markets, they generate transaction fees, staking rewards, and market liquidity, contributing to the economic growth of the Cardano ecosystem.
• Marketing and Community Outreach:
• Strategic Marketing: Allocating funds for marketing and community engagement ensures that FuturADA will reach its target audience effectively, promoting Cardano as a hub for innovative, decentralized applications. A well-executed marketing strategy will not only drive users to FuturADA but also increase awareness and adoption of the Cardano blockchain.
• Strengthening Community: By actively engaging with the Cardano community through marketing campaigns, testnets, and educational content, FuturADA aims to strengthen the community’s knowledge base and involvement in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.

Return on Investment (ROI):

The project is expected to generate multiple forms of ROI for the Cardano ecosystem:

• Economic ROI: Increased ADA usage and transaction volume will boost Cardano’s economic activity and potentially increase ADA's market value.
• Ecosystem ROI: By expanding Cardano's DApp offerings and showcasing its technical capabilities, FuturADA will attract more developers and projects to build on Cardano.
• Reputational ROI: Successfully launching a secure, innovative prediction market will enhance Cardano's reputation as a leading blockchain network. Think of it as Cardano’s response to PolyMarket.

Conclusion:

The ₳150,000 investment in FuturADA is a strategic expenditure that represents outstanding value for the Cardano ecosystem. By driving ADA usage, fostering innovation, promoting decentralization, ensuring security, and engaging a global user base, FuturADA aims to be a cornerstone project that significantly contributes to Cardano’s growth and adoption. This carefully planned allocation of funds will not only create a robust platform but also catalyze the ecosystem’s expansion, ensuring long-term, sustainable value for the Cardano community.